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Tuesday, January 5, 2010

Carry Trading Explained!

People were making a lot of money with carry trading a few years back. This is a passive long term trading strategy that tries to benefit from the interest rate differential between two currencies. Hedge funds, big banks, corporations, pension funds and institutional investors are all the time engaged in carry trading. Why do you want to keep your money in a bank account if you can get a higher return with carry trading?

So how does carry trading works? When you keep your money in a bank account, the bank is supposed to pay you a certain return based on the interest rate of that currency. Let's take the example of Australian Dollars (AUD). Some years back, the Australian banks were paying something like 4.5% annual interest on bank account.

Similarly,for someone living in Tokyo, Japanese Yen (JPY) is the most important currency. In 1990s, Japanese economy was suffering from stagflation. In order to take the economy out of this situation, Japanese Central Bank (JCB) almost reduced the interest rate to zero. It was something like 0.1% ( only 1 basis point). Now when a Japanese deposited JPY in a saving account, he or she got only 0.1% annual interest on the deposit. It was better to spend than to save. This was exactly the purpose of lowering the interest rate to zero by JCB.

Suppose you go long on AUD and short on JPY meaning that you buy AUD and sell JPY. Now owning AUD means that you will get an annual interest of 4.5% while owing JPY means that you will have to pay an annual interest of let's say 0.1%. So the net annual return that you will get will be 4.5-0.1= 4.4%.

So you are making 4.4% annual return now. Now, you haven't even thought of using leverage. You become greedy and want to further increase your annual return. You decide to use a leverage of 1:5 meaning for every $1 in your account, the broker is going to pay $5. This leverage multiplies your annual return with 5 and makes it 22%. Now, you get even more greedy and decide to use a leverage of 1:10. This will multiply your annual return to 44%. Fantastic, isn't it!

Leverage is a double edged sword. When things work for you, leverage is great but when they don't, leverage will ruin you. So be careful with leverage. What I mean is that we have assumed that both the currencies don't appreciate or depreciate during this period. If they do, it can work for you as well as against you. Let's see how!

Now, what happens, when people like you and me hear about an interest rate arbitrage opportunity, the news travels all over the world and lo and behold, within weeks millions are now doing carry trading. When millions of people all over the world buy AUD and sell JPY, the net effect is AUD will appreciate relative to JPY. Hey, but this works for you. As long as the market sentiment is positive and more and more people are trying carry trading, you will get an annual interest rate differential plus the capital gain through appreciation of AUD.

But in case of a financial crisis, like that happened in 2008, people become risk averse and start unwinding their carry trading positions. Huge selling of AUD will suddenly make your carry trade net annual return negative and you will face a loss. So do carry trading, it is profitable but always monitor the mood of the market and immediately get out if you find the market sentiment changing! Good Luck!



Autor: Ahmad A Hassam

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard. If you want a 5 figure monthly income part time than give 60 days RISK FREE trial to Forex Income Engine 2.0 Course by Bill Poulos - A Flexible Forex Day Trading System that requires you to trade not more than 20 minutes a day. It comes with 8 weeks of FREE personal coaching by Bill. Discover the best Forex Robot!


Added: January 5, 2010
Source: http://ezinearticles.com/

Monday, January 4, 2010

What ETFs to Invest in 2010?

One of the most revolutionary financial innovation that took place in the last decade of 20th century is the development of Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs). ETFs have completely changed the landscape of the world of investing. ETFs give you all the advantages of investing in stocks and mutual funds with none of their disadvantages. Read this article to know how ETFs can change your fortunes in 2010!

So what makes ETFs superior to stocks and mutual funds. You see, when you invest in a few stocks, your portfolio is not hedged. This is why most of the people invest in mutual funds that give them diversification. But mutual fund shares can only be sold or bought at the end of the day when the mutual fund NAV (Net Asset Value) is calculated. The next day when the trading starts, the market might have changes and this NAV may already be stale. But you cannot dump the mutual fund shares. Mutual funds also come with front end and back end fees known as loads plus management fees. So what to do, invest in ETFs. ETFs trade just like stocks,you can buy or sell ETF shares anytime of the day. You can go short on ETF shares anytime unlike stocks that have the uptick rule preventing shorting. At the same time, an ETF provides you with the advantages of a mutual fund. Yes, diversification but with very low fee something like 0.7% as compared to 2-4% for most of the mutual funds.

So what are ETFs? ETFs are basically a basket of stocks or assets like gold, commodities, currencies that mimic a certain market index. That market index can be any stock index like the famous Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Index, NASDAQ, S&P 500, S&P Composite, DAX, FTSE or any other stock index or it can be any other market sector index like the semiconductor market index, energy market index, oil market index, commodity market index. The universe of ETFs is expanding with each new year!

This makes ETFs quite versatile. Now, you can even find ETFs that that mimic foreign countries or regions markets. Now if you want to invest in foreign stocks, Country ETFs or Regional ETFs are the best method for you to profit from foreign markets.

Now, let's make it clear with an example. Suppose, you had invested $10,000 in Dow Diamonds Trust ETFs in 2009, you would have made a profit of 16.86%. On the other hand if you had invested in iShares MSCI Brazil Index ETF, you would have made a whooping 96.84% return. Some experts are saying that Brazil will be the best investment for 2010. Brazil is now the 9th largest economy in the world and has a number of advantages over China and India.

Whatever, ETFs investing has many advantages over stocks and mutual funds. With the variety ETFs that have been developed over the last decade, the options are unlimited now. Now, you can invest in Inverse ETFs. Inverse ETFs mimic an index in an inverse manner. If the index goes up 2%, the Inverse ETF will go 2% down. This way, you can profit from a market downturn without even shorting. You can even find Leveraged Inverse ETFs. If the index goes up by 2%, the Leveraged Inverse ETF will go down my a multiple of 5 to -10%.

Explore the exciting world of ETFs in 2010. Do your study and reseach, you will be able to find many exciting ETFs for 2010!



Autor: Ahmad A Hassam

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard. Discover Chris Rowe's Internal Strength System the ultimate Stock, Options and ETF Course that can make you rich in 2010. This is the exact system that had made Chris a millionaire while still in his 20s. It has 4 modules and going through it is like watching a Hollywood Movie. Learn ETF Trend Trading!


Added: January 4, 2010
Source: http://ezinearticles.com/

Sunday, January 3, 2010

An Overview of Listing Option Strategies in Trading

In today's ever changing markets, one wants to ensure that his investments will perform no matter what scenario the markets may bring. When trading only stocks or futures, this can sometimes be a difficult task to accomplish. However, option trading offers many solutions to such problems. Options are financial instruments that can provide the investor or trader with tremendous profit potential, limited risk, and the flexibility needed to take advantage of almost any investment situation one might encounter. Whether the market outlook is bullish, bearish, choppy, or quiet, option trading can significantly increase one's profitable trading opportunities.

On April 26, 1973, the Chicago Board Option Exchange (CBOE) opened its doors and began trading listed call options on 16 stocks. From that humble beginning, option trading has evolved to today's broad and active markets. The listing of options on an exchange standardized striking prices and expiration dates-and that standardization cleared the way for the growth that has followed.

Option trading can provide you with the incredible benefits of leverage, risk management, and tremendous profit potentially. And in today's uncertain markets, that's what most traders are looking for. Take what you've learned here and use it to explore option trading for the first time or further than you have already. It gives you many choices...it gives you many options. Find the ones that work best for your market objectives and see how they can help increase your bottom line.

Profit Graphs
Some traders prefer to see columns of numbers, and others-myself included-prefer to look at graphs or charts. A "profit graph" is a graph of the potential profits and losses from a position. With options, it is possible to describe most of the major strategies by the shape of their profit graphs.

Outright Option Buying
The outright purchase of an option is the simplest type of option trade for most traders to understand, and some prefer to go no further. When we say "outright," we are referring to an option purchase that is not hedged by anything else, such as the sale of a similar option or the sale of stock. In the preceding example, the purchase of the XYZ July 50 call for 3 has several definable qualities that are fairly easily understood by most traders. First, the cost of one option is $300, and that is the most that can be lost. Second, the breakeven point at expiration is 53 (plus commissions), for a call option is always worth at least the difference between the stock price (53) and the striking price (50). Third, nearly unlimited profits are available, for the option will appreciate in price as long as the underlying stock, XYZ, continues to rise in price.

This is typically felt to be an aggressive strategy, because the leverage is so high. You can lose all your money in a fairly short amount of time if the option expires worthless. In the preceding example, if the stock drops at all from the price of 50 (where it was trading when the option was purchased) by expiration, the option will expire worthless and the trader will lose the$300 he paid for the call. Leverage works both ways, of course, and thus huge percentages are possible as well, for example, if the stock were to advance by only 20 percent (from 50 to 60), then the option would be worth $1,000. So the stock trader would make 20 percent, while the option trader would make 233 percent ($300 becomes $1,000) from the same stock movement.

Of course, leverage is completely in control of the investor. One would not put his entire account into such an option purchase. But he might put 3% to 5% of his account into it. So, if the trade went back, he would have a 3% loss of his overall account value, say, but if it profited, he could make a strong return of 6% or more, when viewed from the perspective of his entire account value.

Using Long Options to Protect Stock
Another advantage of owning options is that they can be combined with stock or futures to produce a position that has much less risk than that of the underlying. Long puts can be bought as a hedge against the downside risk of owning stock, or long calls can be bought as a hedge against the risk of selling stock short. Buying Puts as an Insurance Policy for Long Stock If a trader wants to protect against the downside risk of owning stock, he can buy a put against that stock. The ownership of the put will eliminate much of the downside risk, while still leaving room for plenty of gains on the upside.

Buying Both a Put and a Call
In some cases, a trader may feel that there is the potential for explosive movement by an underling instrument, but he is uncertain of the direction that movement might take. In such a case, he might consider buying both a put and a call with the same strike-a straddle. Then, if there is a large move-either up or down-he will make money. The drawback, of course, is that nothing much happens and time decay eats away at both the put and the call. This strategy has profit potential as shown in Figure 2.4; the maximum loss, which is equal to the initial premium paid, would be realized if the stock were exactly at the striking price at expiration. However, the possible rewards are large if the stock rises or falls far enough by expiration.

As a general rule of thumb, this is a strategy that should only be undertaken if two conditions are met:

  1. The options are inexpensive on a historical basis
  2. The underlying has a history of being able to move distances large enough to make the straddle profitable
Markets have a tendency to trade in small increments most of the time, and then to make up most of their ground in a very short period of time. Studies have been done that show that 90 percent of the gains are made in only 10 percent of the trading days (other studies show similar figures for downside moves as well). It is often the case that options get very cheap just before large moves. This is especially true if the market has been rather trendless for a while just before a big move occurs; option buyers are losing money to time decay and therefore are less aggressive in their bids for options, while option sellers become more aggressive as their profits build up. There have been many examples of options getting "cheap" just prior to large market explosions. One of the most famous was the cheapness of index options just prior to the crash of 1987, but there are many other instances as well, both in stocks and in futures.

Selling Options
Just as with any other type of security, the initial, or opening, transaction may be a sale rather than a purchase. When you do that with a stock, you must first borrow the shares before you can sell them "short." However, with options or futures, that is not necessary. The mere option transaction itself creates a contract, so that the buyer of the option is long the contract and the seller of the option is short the contract. The common term to describe the sale of an option as an opening transaction is to say the option has been written. This term comes from the old days when a physical contract was issued by the seller and delivered to the buyer.

In today's paperless trading world, there is no longer any physical contract, but the term remains.

Summary
The broad overviews of the various strategies expressed in this chapter should be enough of a foundation for understanding the basic principles of option trading. It was not our intention to detail the explicit calculations of breakeven points and explain follow up actions for these strategies. What we hope you come away with is a preliminary groundwork by which you can either begin trading options, or continue trading options in a more efficient and effective way.

Option trading can provide you with the incredible benefits of leverage, risk management, and tremendous profit potentially. And in today's uncertain markets, that's what most traders are looking for. Take what you've learned here and use it to explore option trading for the first time or further than you have already. It gives you many choices...it gives you many options. Find the ones that work best for your market objectives and see how they can help increase your bottom line.



Autor: Lawrence G. McMillan

More information at SlipStreamWealth.com

Professional trader Lawrence G. McMillan is perhaps best known as the author of Options As a Strategic Investment, the best-selling work on stock and index options strategies, which has sold over 200,000 copies. An active trader of his own account, he also manages option-oriented accounts for certain individuals. In a research capacity, he edits and contributes to his firm's publications: Daily Volume Alerts, The Option Strategist and The Daily Strategist-derivative products newsletters covering equity, index, and futures options. In these capacities, he is the President of McMillan Analysis Corporation, which he founded in 1991. Prior to founding his own firm, Mr. McMillan was a proprietary trader at two major brokerage firms-primarily Thomson McKinnon Securities, where he ran the Equity Arbitrage Department for nine years.


Added: January 3, 2010
Source: http://ezinearticles.com/

Saturday, January 2, 2010

Why You Should Add Bonds to Your Portfolio

When it comes to putting together a portfolio that is both balanced and profitable, investors have to consider a host of different investment products. This is especially important in the current economy, as the markets have become more volatile and it's getting even harder to make sure that your portfolio is protected from risk. One of the most important parts of any good investment plan is the use of bonds. Smart investors purchase these bonds to shield themselves from risk and add growth potential on the short term.

Bonds are different from many of the other investment options because they are guaranteed. Even the best stock and mutual funds have a chance of failing and in the current economy, this is not a chance you should be taking. Many people have put their hard earned dollars into stocks that seemed like a sure bet, only to see the stock tank a few months later. Sharp, shrewd investors will put at least a chunk of their investment dollars into bonds, because these items don't have risk and they can provide some peace of mind.

Right now, certainty is something that comes at a premium. There are many unsure investment products out on the market, so it helps if you can invest in products that give you a guaranteed return amount at a guaranteed time. Bonds are nice because they allow you to plan for the future. You know exactly when you will be able to cash in these bonds and re-invest your returns in something new. With stocks, mutual funds, and other investment ventures, you don't know what you are going to have and you don't know when the best time to withdraw the money might be. Bonds give you certainty and this is something that you have to value given the volatility of the current economy.

Ultimately, bonds provide the type of surety and security that people must have in their portfolio. The best investors balance this with some products that carry more risk and provide more reward.



Autor: Charles E Johnson

Charles E. Johnson is an entrepreneur and the current owner of. For more information on the bond market and investing in bonds, visit the Articleportfolio.com bonds page here: http://www.articleportfolio.com/buying-bonds.html.


Added: January 2, 2010
Source: http://ezinearticles.com/

Thursday, December 31, 2009

Investing Australia - Top 4 Plays From Down Under

While most countries on earth were experiencing melt down in 2008, our friends down under never really went into the recession cycle. Yes, during unprecedented global and economic strife, Australia stayed largely unaffected.

Sure, they had a slow down, but it did not qualify as a recession. The good news now for investors and traders is that, unlike many countries, the economy down under is growing!

The housing market in Australia was also largely untouched during the downturn. While the American housing market is trying to find its footing, Australian home prices are making new highs! This is causing consumers there to feel confident as their net worth is growing. Also, the population of Australia is growing at a record pace. This means the housing market looks good for possibly years to come!

The Australian government, like many around the world, provided a stimulus plan to help improve the economy. The big difference is that the government there could afford to do so.

Probably the most attractive aspect for investors is the trade that Australia has with Asia. The resource rich nation has long been a favorite supplier to nearby China. This and many other factors has investors strongly eyeing down under plays.

Here are a few simple ways for you to invest in Australia.

First a couple ETF plays:

Here is an ETF that invests in Australian currency:

CurrencyShares Australian Dollar Trust (FXA)

The Australian dollar has been one of the world's strongest currencies lately.

Then we have this ETF that invests in many things Australian.

iShares MSCI Australia Index (EWA)

For more up-to-date information on this Fund see:

http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ewa

You could also get a look at their holdings if you wanted to invest in individual companies.

Here is a possible over the counter play (at the time of this writing it is not very liquid, but that could soon change) on the Asciano Group. The company owns the largest railroad freight carrier in Australia. They transport commodities like iron and coal, as well as grain and construction material. While they had a tough year in 2008, there are good signs of strong growth for the firm.

ASCIANO GROUP (AANOF.PK)

I like AANOF up to $2 per share. I could see you fairly quickly doubling your money on this one. You can also buy the stock in Australia (ASX: AIO), but that could be more of a hassle.

Do you like energy? If so, one of the largest suppliers down under is actually and American company based in St. Louis, Missouri. Peabody Energy is also active in China and India.

Peabody Energy Corp. (BTU)

There you have it. My Top 4 plays from Down Under.



Autor: Doug West

Doug West has worked in Financial Planning and Investment training for over 20 years. Get his No-Cost Audio Report on how you can Secure Your Retirement with Free-Online Tools:

Get your Free Report Here and discover Rock Solid income strategies, including how you may be able to increase your social security check by 50%.

Learn the art of simple Mini-Dow Index Trading. With Index trading you don't have to worry about PE ratios, insider trading, company scandals, or any of that. Just make your trade when the simple patterns we show you appear. It really is that simple.


Added: December 31, 2009
Source: http://ezinearticles.com/

Wednesday, December 30, 2009

Top 3 Income Investing Plays

Many people hold off on investing in anything because they feel like they need more current income, and they don't want to have to wait years for an investment to pay off.

What is the solution if you are in that category? Income Investing. What exactly is income investing? You may have heard the term and wondered. After all, isn't it the goal of any investor on any investment to turn a profit? Yes, it is. However, an income investor is looking for recurring income right now, and growth in the future too.

After the 2008-2009 housing bubble and market meltdown, many analysts were raving about the benefits of dividend paying stocks. Stocks that pay dividends are only one type of income investment. If your stock is providing you income (in the form of dividend payments), and the value of the stock is rising, you really have the best of both worlds. Long term capital gains and current income too!

This is exactly the type of thing investors are looking for when they invest in real estate. Property that is cash flowing now, and property value that is rising. Some tend to think you can only find that in real estate. However, there are a few safe ways to do that in the market too, without becoming a landlord!

We mentioned dividend paying stocks. My favorite play for current income is by investing in Master Limited Partnerships(MLPs). You can buy MLPs inside of your stock account with your favorite online discount broker. Although you buy them like a stock, they behave much differently. The main thing you should want to know is that they can provide Rock Solid income for you now, and future growth as well. In fact, many MLP values grew during the melt down, and increased the income payments too!

There are also a few Exchange Traded Funds that pay dividends. If I had to list the options mentioned here in order I would rate them as:

1) MLPs

2) ETFs that pay dividends

3) Dividend paying stocks

I've always felt that income paying investments are a better play than those that only provide future profit. After the horrible meltdown, many analysts suddenly agree!



Autor: Doug West

Doug West has worked in Financial Planning and Investment training for over 20 years. Get his No-Cost Audio Report on how you can Secure Your Retirement with Free-Online Tools:

Get your Free Report Here and discover Rock Solid income strategies, including how you may be able to increase your social security check by 50%.


Added: December 30, 2009
Source: http://ezinearticles.com/

Tuesday, December 29, 2009

Online Investing and Why Bank Wires Could Prove the Best Option When Making a Deposit Or Withdrawal

With any Online Investment the ability to deposit or withdraw funds quickly is crucial. Historically bank wires were expensive and took a long time to complete. Has technology changed all that?

When I first started online investing I was adamant that I wouldn't use Bank Wires as I felt they were too expensive and too slow. So, for most of my programmes I have used the various payment processors that have been set up to facilitate these types of transaction.

However, even this option has not been that trouble free as some services have failed at crucial times. Also, more of them are introducing charges to receive funds which means you have to think carefully about the sum to deposit to ensure you cover the cost.

Of course it is easy to generalise and say that none of them provide an efficient and economical service which would be the wrong thing to do. Some provide excellent customer service and are very efficient but you still have to weigh that against the extra steps needed to get funds from and to your personal account.

Time for a re-think

Recently I've had cause to step back and think about whether I should reconsider bank wires as my main vehicle for deposits and withdrawals. Two online programmes that I've had investments with have reported problems with specific payment processors which clearly creates concern when moving funds.

So, when I wanted to make a deposit to another programme I went back to my bank and initiated a bank wire. Doing this directly with a customer service representative made the whole operation very easy. Yes, it did cost me to do this but at the end of the day I know I will recoup these costs pretty quickly with the returns I get. So, for this transaction it was a good choice.

Not suitable for every situation

Clearly this wouldn't work with small amounts and I'd suggest that $500 would be the minimum you'd want to contemplate when considering a bank wire but at least you know that it will get to where it's going and given the new electronic banking systems it can be there pretty quickly as well.

It's always worth keeping an open mind on any decision you make. Time and Technology may well create an environment where your original decision needs to be modified.



Autor: John W Murphy

For more great tips on online investing you can visit my blog at http://www.onlineinvestingguru.com

From John Murphy and Online Investing Guru. Sign up as a subscriber via Feedblitz and I'll send you the Offshore Banking Alert for free


Added: December 29, 2009
Source: http://ezinearticles.com/
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